Sunday, June 30, 2013

Can Oracle Beat These Numbers?

Oracle (Nasdaq: ORCL  ) is expected to report Q4 earnings on June 20. Here's what Wall Street wants to see:

The 10-second takeaway
Comparing the upcoming quarter to the prior-year quarter, average analyst estimates predict Oracle's revenues will expand 1.1% and EPS will expand 7.3%.

The average estimate for revenue is $11.12 billion. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.88.

Revenue details
Last quarter, Oracle booked revenue of $8.97 billion. GAAP reported sales were 0.9% lower than the prior-year quarter's $9.04 billion.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
Last quarter, non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.65. GAAP EPS of $0.52 for Q3 were 6.1% higher than the prior-year quarter's $0.49 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Recent performance
For the preceding quarter, gross margin was 80.8%, 190 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 38.0%, 20 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 28.0%, 40 basis points better than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead

The full year's average estimate for revenue is $37.43 billion. The average EPS estimate is $2.69.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a four-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 3,482 members out of 3,697 rating the stock outperform, and 215 members rating it underperform. Among 807 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 770 give Oracle a green thumbs-up, and 37 give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Oracle is outperform, with an average price target of $37.55.

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